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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.46+4.37vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.14+6.97vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+1.20vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.47+1.33vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.33+0.62vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.82-1.61vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-0.75vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-1.23vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.84-1.84vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.03-3.46vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.39-0.35vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.76-1.92vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.95-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.37Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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8.97Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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4.2Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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5.33Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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5.62Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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4.39Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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7.16University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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6.54Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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10.65Boston University0.390.0%1st Place
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10.08University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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9.66Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brielle Willoughby | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 12.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.7% | 16.9% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.3% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Gray Hemans | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 14.9% | 16.3% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 19.6% | 35.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 14.4% | 19.7% | 25.4% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 19.5% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.