Race 12B

victorian-urn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Emma Cowles 17.7% 14.7% 14.8% 12.4% 11.0% 9.3% 7.3% 4.5% 4.7% 1.9% 1.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Gray Hemans 8.6% 9.7% 10.8% 9.1% 11.4% 9.7% 8.9% 10.1% 7.8% 7.4% 3.8% 2.2% 0.5%
Cordelia Burn 9.6% 12.2% 10.6% 10.5% 11.4% 9.9% 9.6% 9.0% 6.9% 5.8% 3.0% 1.4% 0.1%
Teagan Cunningham 2.2% 3.0% 2.7% 4.8% 4.4% 4.8% 7.6% 6.8% 8.7% 10.8% 14.5% 17.4% 12.3%
Kytalin Hendrickson 6.8% 5.0% 9.1% 6.8% 8.4% 7.5% 8.9% 8.9% 10.7% 11.2% 8.8% 5.3% 2.6%
Caroline Sibilly 15.5% 17.1% 13.3% 12.5% 10.2% 8.1% 7.2% 6.2% 4.8% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Caylin Schnoor 3.1% 3.0% 2.7% 3.2% 3.5% 4.6% 5.9% 6.6% 7.7% 8.6% 15.5% 18.9% 16.7%
Brielle Willoughby 11.2% 11.7% 10.3% 10.0% 10.9% 10.2% 10.6% 8.0% 7.6% 5.0% 2.6% 1.6% 0.3%
Lucy Brock 6.7% 6.4% 6.4% 8.7% 6.6% 9.0% 9.4% 12.0% 8.8% 9.9% 8.4% 5.4% 2.3%
Eva Ermlich 7.8% 7.1% 7.4% 8.5% 9.1% 10.4% 7.6% 9.1% 9.4% 8.7% 8.9% 3.8% 2.2%
Madeline Stull 1.3% 0.9% 1.4% 1.9% 2.6% 4.1% 3.0% 3.5% 5.2% 8.8% 13.1% 19.8% 34.4%
Emma Snead 7.5% 8.0% 7.7% 9.3% 8.0% 9.0% 9.3% 10.2% 10.1% 9.6% 6.3% 3.4% 1.6%
Audrey Commerford 2.0% 1.2% 2.8% 2.3% 2.5% 3.4% 4.7% 5.1% 7.6% 9.6% 12.1% 19.9% 26.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.