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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.90+8.45vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+2.95vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.10+6.14vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.56+2.87vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.18+6.75vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.99+2.00vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.18+4.76vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.34+2.69vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.45+2.16vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.64-3.57vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-2.03vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.07-0.36vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University1.86-3.39vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.49-0.03vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.77-6.91vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.09-4.94vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College1.84-8.12vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.79-9.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.45Harvard University1.905.0%1st Place
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4.95Yale University2.7115.8%1st Place
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9.14Dartmouth College2.105.9%1st Place
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6.87Boston College2.568.5%1st Place
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11.75U. S. Naval Academy1.182.9%1st Place
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8.0Brown University1.996.7%1st Place
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11.76Northeastern University1.182.6%1st Place
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10.69Tulane University1.344.0%1st Place
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11.16College of Charleston1.454.0%1st Place
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6.43Stanford University2.6410.1%1st Place
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8.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.2%1st Place
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11.64George Washington University1.072.7%1st Place
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9.61Georgetown University1.864.5%1st Place
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13.97Roger Williams University0.491.4%1st Place
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8.09University of Pennsylvania1.776.3%1st Place
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11.06North Carolina State University1.093.1%1st Place
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8.88Bowdoin College1.845.1%1st Place
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8.59Cornell University1.796.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Burn | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 15.8% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Ava Farley | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 11.9% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.8% |
| Mia Hanes | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% |
| Grace Squires | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% |
| Hannah Freeman | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.8% |
| Kelly Bates | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 29.5% |
| Sofia Segalla | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.3% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.