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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.87+1.22vs Predicted
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2University of Puget Sound1.26+2.02vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon2.76-1.71vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.88-3.69vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University2.02-4.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22University of Washington2.870.4%1st Place
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4.02University of Puget Sound1.260.1%1st Place
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2.29University of Oregon2.760.3%1st Place
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3.31Western Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
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3.16Western Washington University2.020.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glen Stellmacher | 35.4% | 28.0% | 21.4% | 9.9% | 5.3% |
| Mike Knape | 5.8% | 7.0% | 15.3% | 23.3% | 48.6% |
| Elliot Drake | 32.1% | 29.0% | 20.6% | 14.2% | 4.1% |
| Erika Vranizan | 11.4% | 18.0% | 22.1% | 25.4% | 23.1% |
| Bryan Rust | 15.3% | 18.0% | 20.6% | 27.2% | 18.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.