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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.18+8.64vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.11+8.02vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.06+3.28vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.83+2.89vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.50+3.23vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.63+5.62vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+3.01vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-2.47vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.76-1.82vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.86-2.92vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.90-0.32vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.69-0.30vs Predicted
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13Princeton University2.35-4.33vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.79-7.15vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-7.35vs Predicted
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16Hampton University1.77-4.86vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia0.70-2.44vs Predicted
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18Rochester Institute of Technology-1.17-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.64Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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10.02Washington College2.110.0%1st Place
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6.28SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.89University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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8.23Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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11.62Christopher Newport University1.630.0%1st Place
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10.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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5.53St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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7.18U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.08Cornell University2.860.1%1st Place
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10.68George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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11.7Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
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8.67Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.85Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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7.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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11.14Hampton University1.770.0%1st Place
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14.56University of Virginia0.700.0%1st Place
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17.27Rochester Institute of Technology-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noyl Odom | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 0.1% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 0.1% |
| Benton Amthor | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Bruce | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Brian Fox | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 9.7% | 2.3% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 0.5% |
| Leo Boucher | 13.3% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gavin McJones | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Hayden Earl | 8.6% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 1.1% |
| Payne Donaldson | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 1.8% |
| Connor Mraz | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Will Murray | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Valerio Palamara | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 1.7% |
| Andrew Montague | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 14.5% | 38.5% | 9.5% |
| Elliot Tindall | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 7.6% | 81.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.