← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University2.18+8.77vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania2.83+5.23vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Maritime College3.06+3.38vs Predicted
-
4Webb Institute1.69+7.36vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University3.22+0.63vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-0.31vs Predicted
-
7Princeton University2.35+1.96vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University2.50+0.21vs Predicted
-
9University of Virginia0.70+5.51vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy2.76-2.40vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-0.72vs Predicted
-
12Cornell University2.86-4.70vs Predicted
-
13George Washington University1.90-2.49vs Predicted
-
14Christopher Newport University1.63-2.65vs Predicted
-
15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-7.30vs Predicted
-
16Washington College2.11-6.04vs Predicted
-
17Hampton University1.77-5.73vs Predicted
-
18Rochester Institute of Technology-1.17-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.77Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
-
7.23University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
-
6.38SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
-
11.36Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
-
5.63Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
-
5.69St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
-
8.96Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
-
8.21Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
-
14.51University of Virginia0.700.0%1st Place
-
7.6U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
-
10.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
-
7.3Cornell University2.860.1%1st Place
-
10.51George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
-
11.35Christopher Newport University1.630.0%1st Place
-
7.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
-
9.96Washington College2.110.0%1st Place
-
11.27Hampton University1.770.0%1st Place
-
17.3Rochester Institute of Technology-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noyl Odom | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 0.3% |
| Jordan Bruce | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benton Amthor | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Payne Donaldson | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 1.3% |
| Mariner Fagan | 12.9% | 14.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leo Boucher | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Montague | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 12.9% | 37.3% | 10.0% |
| Gavin McJones | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Sawin | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Hayden Earl | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 1.2% |
| Brian Fox | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 2.1% |
| Will Murray | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 0.6% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 7.9% | 1.1% |
| Elliot Tindall | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 8.4% | 81.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.