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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.45+5.25vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.95+6.01vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.79+9.12vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+2.19vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-0.55vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.19+0.97vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.93+0.88vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.54+1.18vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.90-1.10vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.99-5.42vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.24-0.48vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-2.71vs Predicted
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13Hampton University0.81-1.24vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67+1.70vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia-0.43+0.46vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.03-8.38vs Predicted
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17Princeton University0.34-3.45vs Predicted
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18Washington College0.21-4.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.25Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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8.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.950.0%1st Place
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12.12Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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6.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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4.45St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
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6.97SUNY Maritime College2.190.1%1st Place
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7.88Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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9.18Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
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7.9Fordham University1.900.1%1st Place
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4.58U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
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10.52Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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9.29St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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11.76Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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15.7Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.0%1st Place
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15.46University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
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7.62University of Pennsylvania2.030.1%1st Place
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13.55Princeton University0.340.0%1st Place
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13.57Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| David Grace | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 4.3% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 9.0% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 18.4% | 16.3% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Chisari | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| J.J. Smith | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Everett Botwinick | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Dolan | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Smith | 17.4% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 2.7% |
| Kayla Maguire | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 19.8% | 39.2% |
| Maxwell Penders | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 13.9% | 23.7% | 31.6% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jasper Waldman | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 16.6% | 9.8% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 14.0% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.