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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.45+5.53vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+2.74vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+3.59vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.99+0.59vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.54+4.44vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.24+4.69vs Predicted
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7Washington College0.21+6.94vs Predicted
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8Princeton University1.08+3.09vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.93-0.90vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67+6.09vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.90-2.63vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.79+0.42vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.95-5.03vs Predicted
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14Hampton University0.81-2.17vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia-0.43+0.48vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College2.19-8.75vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-7.60vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.35-11.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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4.74St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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6.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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4.59U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
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9.44Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
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10.69Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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13.94Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
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11.09Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
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8.1Cornell University1.930.0%1st Place
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16.09Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.0%1st Place
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8.37Fordham University1.900.1%1st Place
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12.42Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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7.97U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.950.1%1st Place
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11.83Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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15.48University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
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7.25SUNY Maritime College2.190.1%1st Place
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9.4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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6.47University of Pennsylvania2.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 14.1% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Smith | 16.5% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 17.3% | 18.7% | 13.5% |
| Asher Green | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| J.J. Smith | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Maguire | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 21.2% | 45.4% |
| Patrick Dolan | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| David Grace | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 4.1% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 2.9% |
| Maxwell Penders | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 25.7% | 30.1% |
| Nick Chisari | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Javier Garcon | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.