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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+5.22vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.77+6.29vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.34+7.61vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.79+4.45vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.56+1.93vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.71-1.05vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.90+2.51vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.09+2.96vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.10+0.15vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.99-1.98vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.84-2.13vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-2.85vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.45-1.69vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University1.86-4.38vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy1.18-3.21vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.18-4.33vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University0.49-3.24vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.07-6.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.22Stanford University2.6411.8%1st Place
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8.29University of Pennsylvania1.776.5%1st Place
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10.61Tulane University1.343.9%1st Place
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8.45Cornell University1.795.7%1st Place
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6.93Boston College2.569.7%1st Place
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4.95Yale University2.7115.2%1st Place
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9.51Harvard University1.904.4%1st Place
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10.96North Carolina State University1.093.4%1st Place
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9.15Dartmouth College2.105.1%1st Place
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8.02Brown University1.996.5%1st Place
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8.87Bowdoin College1.845.2%1st Place
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9.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.1%1st Place
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11.31College of Charleston1.452.8%1st Place
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9.62Georgetown University1.865.3%1st Place
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11.79U. S. Naval Academy1.183.0%1st Place
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11.67Northeastern University1.182.6%1st Place
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13.76Roger Williams University0.491.4%1st Place
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11.73George Washington University1.072.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 11.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Sofia Segalla | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% |
| Mia Hanes | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 15.2% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 6.9% |
| Sarah Young | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Grace Squires | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.3% |
| Kelly Bates | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
| Ava Farley | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 12.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 10.9% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 29.6% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.