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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Oregon2.76+0.31vs Predicted
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3University of Washington2.87-0.79vs Predicted
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5University of Puget Sound1.26-1.01vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.88-2.68vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University2.02-4.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31University of Oregon2.760.3%1st Place
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2.21University of Washington2.870.3%1st Place
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3.99University of Puget Sound1.260.1%1st Place
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3.32Western Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
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3.16Western Washington University2.020.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliot Drake | 31.5% | 28.0% | 22.9% | 12.8% | 4.8% |
| Glen Stellmacher | 34.2% | 29.3% | 21.2% | 11.8% | 3.5% |
| Mike Knape | 7.3% | 8.4% | 13.4% | 19.6% | 51.3% |
| Erika Vranizan | 11.7% | 17.0% | 20.9% | 28.2% | 22.2% |
| Bryan Rust | 15.3% | 17.3% | 21.6% | 27.6% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.