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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67+11.65vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.81+7.57vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.79+6.71vs Predicted
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4Washington College0.21+7.23vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+2.54vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.95+0.72vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.90-0.54vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.93-1.45vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.24-0.32vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-4.63vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.54-3.18vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.99-8.17vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.45-7.88vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-10.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.65Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.0%1st Place
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9.57Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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9.71Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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11.23Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
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7.54St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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6.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.950.1%1st Place
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6.46Fordham University1.900.1%1st Place
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6.55Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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8.68Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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5.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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7.82Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
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3.83U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
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5.12Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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3.74St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla Maguire | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 17.1% | 57.1% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 18.3% | 13.9% | 6.5% |
| David Grace | 3.2% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 16.1% | 16.7% | 7.7% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 26.4% | 21.9% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 0.6% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Dolan | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| J.J. Smith | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 3.4% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Nathan Smith | 16.7% | 20.3% | 17.0% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Menditto | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 20.9% | 17.0% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.