Race 1A

day-2pccsc-fall-women-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Vanessa Lahrkamp 67.2% 22.4% 6.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Molly Coghlin 4.2% 12.8% 18.4% 17.3% 16.4% 14.3% 9.3% 5.8% 1.5%
Kira Blumhagen 1.6% 2.5% 3.9% 5.4% 6.1% 8.0% 13.4% 22.1% 37.0%
Kingsley Ehrich 4.1% 11.1% 13.3% 16.5% 14.9% 14.6% 13.4% 7.9% 4.2%
Morgan Carew 8.6% 21.0% 18.4% 14.8% 13.8% 10.3% 8.4% 3.1% 1.6%
Marianna Shand 6.4% 13.3% 17.4% 17.2% 16.7% 13.7% 9.3% 4.5% 1.5%
Erin Pamplin 3.4% 9.3% 10.5% 15.3% 15.3% 17.1% 13.6% 10.9% 4.6%
Florence Duff 2.4% 4.9% 7.1% 7.1% 9.7% 13.2% 18.4% 22.4% 14.8%
Morgan Burton 2.1% 2.7% 4.2% 3.9% 6.2% 8.6% 14.2% 23.3% 34.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.