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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+0.46vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.06+2.54vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.62+2.21vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University-0.54+3.10vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.73-0.15vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.26-2.03vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.57+0.26vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-3.68vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.46Stanford University3.390.7%1st Place
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4.54University of California at Los Angeles1.060.0%1st Place
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5.21University of Washington0.620.0%1st Place
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7.1San Diego State University-0.540.0%1st Place
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4.85University of California at Berkeley0.730.0%1st Place
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3.97University of Hawaii1.260.1%1st Place
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7.26Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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4.32University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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6.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 67.7% | 22.9% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 4.0% | 12.3% | 19.1% | 16.0% | 15.9% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 5.6% | 1.7% |
| Erin Pamplin | 4.1% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 9.2% | 6.2% |
| Morgan Burton | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 21.7% | 33.7% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 4.9% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 9.1% | 4.4% |
| Morgan Carew | 7.6% | 16.8% | 19.9% | 19.7% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 1.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 25.0% | 35.7% |
| Molly Coghlin | 6.2% | 16.9% | 14.7% | 17.1% | 16.3% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Florence Duff | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 17.0% | 22.0% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.