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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+0.45vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.06+2.51vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.73+1.99vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.57+3.12vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.15-0.91vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-1.79vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.54+0.22vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.62-2.87vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.45Stanford University3.390.7%1st Place
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4.51University of California at Los Angeles1.060.0%1st Place
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4.99University of California at Berkeley0.730.0%1st Place
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7.12Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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4.09University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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4.21University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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7.22San Diego State University-0.540.0%1st Place
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5.13University of Washington0.620.0%1st Place
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6.28Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 67.7% | 23.0% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 4.1% | 12.0% | 20.0% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 4.1% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 4.6% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 15.0% | 21.7% | 34.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 7.9% | 18.4% | 19.2% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 6.7% | 15.3% | 17.7% | 17.7% | 16.8% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Morgan Burton | 1.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 24.3% | 35.1% |
| Erin Pamplin | 4.3% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 5.0% |
| Florence Duff | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 20.5% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.