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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.15+3.21vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.39-0.50vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.73+2.01vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+0.19vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.57+2.08vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.62-0.90vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.54+0.23vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.06-3.61vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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1.5Stanford University3.390.7%1st Place
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5.01University of California at Berkeley0.730.0%1st Place
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4.19University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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7.08Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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5.1University of Washington0.620.0%1st Place
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7.23San Diego State University-0.540.0%1st Place
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4.39University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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6.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercy Tangredi | 7.1% | 15.9% | 17.1% | 19.0% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 0.8% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 65.2% | 24.0% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 4.4% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 9.4% | 4.2% |
| Molly Coghlin | 7.4% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 18.3% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 1.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 20.3% | 35.5% |
| Erin Pamplin | 4.4% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 17.3% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 4.1% |
| Morgan Burton | 1.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 13.5% | 24.0% | 35.5% |
| Marianna Shand | 6.7% | 12.9% | 18.1% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| Florence Duff | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 18.2% | 20.5% | 16.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.