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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+0.47vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University-0.54+5.31vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+1.30vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.73+0.84vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.62+0.03vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.06-1.70vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-0.68vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.15-3.78vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.57-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.47Stanford University3.390.7%1st Place
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7.31San Diego State University-0.540.0%1st Place
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4.3University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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4.84University of California at Berkeley0.730.0%1st Place
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5.03University of Washington0.620.0%1st Place
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4.3University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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6.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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4.22University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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7.21Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 67.3% | 23.3% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Burton | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 23.4% | 36.9% |
| Molly Coghlin | 6.4% | 14.5% | 16.6% | 18.3% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 4.4% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 8.6% | 2.8% |
| Erin Pamplin | 4.2% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 5.6% |
| Marianna Shand | 6.4% | 13.7% | 18.2% | 17.6% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| Florence Duff | 1.8% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 19.6% | 21.4% | 14.6% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 6.9% | 16.2% | 16.9% | 17.1% | 16.0% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 22.3% | 36.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.