Race 6A

day-2pccsc-fall-women-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Vanessa Lahrkamp 67.1% 23.7% 6.4% 2.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Erin Pamplin 3.1% 6.9% 13.8% 14.3% 13.4% 15.6% 17.6% 10.4% 4.9%
Mercy Tangredi 6.7% 15.1% 18.1% 17.5% 16.2% 11.9% 9.0% 4.5% 1.0%
Morgan Burton 1.3% 2.8% 3.9% 6.0% 8.2% 8.8% 12.8% 22.3% 33.9%
Molly Coghlin 7.1% 18.2% 17.9% 15.2% 13.5% 12.3% 9.2% 4.5% 2.1%
Kingsley Ehrich 4.6% 9.7% 14.4% 14.3% 17.5% 15.4% 12.6% 7.9% 3.6%
Kira Blumhagen 1.1% 3.3% 3.6% 3.6% 6.2% 9.1% 12.7% 24.0% 36.4%
Marianna Shand 6.3% 15.2% 15.8% 17.8% 15.1% 12.0% 10.1% 5.6% 2.1%
Florence Duff 2.7% 5.1% 6.1% 8.9% 9.6% 14.8% 16.0% 20.8% 16.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.