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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.56+5.91vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.77+6.35vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.10+6.31vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.64+2.53vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.99+3.34vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.71-1.11vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+2.08vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.86+1.76vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.09+2.39vs Predicted
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10Tulane University1.34+0.83vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.45+0.46vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.79-3.26vs Predicted
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13Harvard University1.90-3.48vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.84-4.88vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.07-3.15vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy1.18-3.94vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.18-5.27vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University1.31-6.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.91Boston College2.569.3%1st Place
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8.35University of Pennsylvania1.776.2%1st Place
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9.31Dartmouth College2.104.9%1st Place
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6.53Stanford University2.649.8%1st Place
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8.34Brown University1.996.0%1st Place
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4.89Yale University2.7116.8%1st Place
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9.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.2%1st Place
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9.76Georgetown University1.865.0%1st Place
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11.39North Carolina State University1.092.6%1st Place
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10.83Tulane University1.343.5%1st Place
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11.46College of Charleston1.453.3%1st Place
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8.74Cornell University1.796.7%1st Place
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9.52Harvard University1.905.0%1st Place
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9.12Bowdoin College1.844.2%1st Place
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11.85George Washington University1.073.2%1st Place
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12.06U. S. Naval Academy1.182.8%1st Place
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11.73Northeastern University1.182.4%1st Place
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11.13Roger Williams University1.313.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Sofia Segalla | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Young | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% |
| Hannah Freeman | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 16.8% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% |
| Kelly Bates | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.7% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.8% |
| Mia Hanes | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% |
| Grace Squires | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 12.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% |
| Lauren Russler | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 13.2% |
| Ava Farley | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 14.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 12.2% |
| Tavia Smith | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.