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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.87+1.25vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.88+1.36vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University2.02-0.87vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon2.76-2.71vs Predicted
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6University of Puget Sound1.26-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25University of Washington2.870.3%1st Place
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3.36Western Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
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3.13Western Washington University2.020.1%1st Place
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2.29University of Oregon2.760.3%1st Place
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3.96University of Puget Sound1.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glen Stellmacher | 34.7% | 28.3% | 20.2% | 10.5% | 6.3% |
| Erika Vranizan | 11.4% | 14.8% | 23.3% | 27.5% | 23.0% |
| Bryan Rust | 14.7% | 18.3% | 23.3% | 26.8% | 16.9% |
| Elliot Drake | 32.6% | 28.6% | 20.2% | 14.0% | 4.6% |
| Mike Knape | 6.6% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 21.2% | 49.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.