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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University0.32+5.22vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.07+2.22vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University0.54+2.70vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago0.40+2.02vs Predicted
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5Indiana University0.37+1.05vs Predicted
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6Washington University0.00+1.12vs Predicted
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7Purdue University0.51-1.39vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.35-1.83vs Predicted
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9University of Saint Thomas-0.65+0.04vs Predicted
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10Grand Valley State University-1.75+1.29vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University-1.27-0.69vs Predicted
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12Marquette University0.05-4.77vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.45-6.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.22Michigan State University0.320.1%1st Place
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4.22University of Michigan1.070.2%1st Place
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5.7Michigan Technological University0.540.1%1st Place
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6.02University of Chicago0.400.1%1st Place
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6.05Indiana University0.370.1%1st Place
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7.12Washington University0.000.1%1st Place
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5.61Purdue University0.510.1%1st Place
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6.17Northwestern University0.350.1%1st Place
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9.04University of Saint Thomas-0.650.0%1st Place
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11.29Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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10.31Ohio State University-1.270.0%1st Place
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7.23Marquette University0.050.1%1st Place
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6.03University of Wisconsin0.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dougie Cowan | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Joe Serpa | 17.4% | 15.9% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Michels | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Max Zhalilo | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| John Hultquist | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Marino | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 3.1% |
| Lukas Diehm | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 15.9% | 19.6% | 11.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 8.4% | 20.0% | 50.4% |
| Emily Williams | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 16.2% | 23.6% | 25.0% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
| Calvin Lutton | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.