Race 2A

mcsa-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Dougie Cowan 8.1% 8.4% 9.5% 8.2% 9.3% 9.6% 7.4% 9.7% 10.5% 7.8% 7.4% 3.1% 1.0%
Andrew Michels 9.5% 11.3% 9.7% 9.0% 10.6% 10.1% 10.0% 8.5% 7.0% 7.6% 3.6% 2.6% 0.5%
Eric Hoyerman 4.7% 6.2% 7.4% 7.8% 7.7% 9.4% 8.0% 8.0% 10.2% 11.7% 10.1% 6.4% 2.4%
Nikolas Chambers 9.3% 7.8% 8.4% 9.1% 10.0% 7.9% 9.7% 10.4% 8.2% 8.4% 6.2% 3.9% 0.7%
Calvin Lutton 10.9% 9.2% 9.2% 10.4% 8.9% 7.7% 9.3% 11.4% 6.5% 6.8% 6.2% 2.6% 0.9%
Lukas Diehm 10.0% 10.6% 10.9% 9.5% 9.0% 9.4% 10.5% 7.6% 7.7% 6.6% 5.3% 2.7% 0.2%
Joe Serpa 17.8% 16.7% 14.1% 11.3% 10.5% 7.3% 7.9% 6.6% 3.9% 1.9% 1.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Thomas Marino 5.3% 7.9% 7.1% 5.9% 7.1% 9.3% 8.1% 7.4% 12.3% 10.7% 9.4% 7.3% 2.2%
John Hultquist 8.5% 7.8% 8.7% 10.3% 8.0% 10.3% 9.8% 8.1% 8.1% 8.4% 7.3% 3.4% 1.3%
Max Zhalilo 10.5% 8.5% 9.2% 9.8% 10.0% 8.6% 8.1% 8.3% 9.6% 6.7% 6.2% 3.2% 1.3%
Rakesh Dhiman 3.3% 2.7% 3.1% 5.1% 5.4% 6.3% 5.3% 6.5% 8.4% 11.7% 15.5% 17.8% 8.9%
Emily Williams 1.2% 2.0% 1.8% 2.1% 1.4% 2.7% 4.8% 4.7% 4.4% 5.7% 12.3% 27.7% 29.2%
Carly Irwin 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 1.5% 2.1% 1.4% 1.1% 2.8% 3.2% 6.0% 9.1% 18.7% 51.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.