← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Purdue University0.51+4.71vs Predicted
-
2Northwestern University0.35+4.04vs Predicted
-
3Marquette University0.05+3.93vs Predicted
-
4Michigan Technological University0.54+1.58vs Predicted
-
5University of Chicago0.40+0.91vs Predicted
-
6Indiana University0.37+0.04vs Predicted
-
7University of Wisconsin0.45-1.27vs Predicted
-
8University of Michigan1.07-3.87vs Predicted
-
9Washington University0.00-2.13vs Predicted
-
10University of Saint Thomas-0.65-1.34vs Predicted
-
11Ohio State University-1.27-0.81vs Predicted
-
12Michigan State University0.32-5.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.71Purdue University0.510.1%1st Place
-
6.04Northwestern University0.350.1%1st Place
-
6.93Marquette University0.050.1%1st Place
-
5.58Michigan Technological University0.540.1%1st Place
-
5.91University of Chicago0.400.1%1st Place
-
6.04Indiana University0.370.1%1st Place
-
5.73University of Wisconsin0.450.1%1st Place
-
4.13University of Michigan1.070.2%1st Place
-
6.87Washington University0.000.0%1st Place
-
8.66University of Saint Thomas-0.650.0%1st Place
-
10.19Ohio State University-1.270.0%1st Place
-
6.2Michigan State University0.320.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Diehm | 10.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 1.9% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 4.8% |
| Andrew Michels | 8.4% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Max Zhalilo | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 2.8% |
| John Hultquist | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 2.7% |
| Calvin Lutton | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Joe Serpa | 19.7% | 17.0% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Marino | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 4.3% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 13.4% | 18.1% | 22.2% |
| Emily Williams | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 16.7% | 50.2% |
| Dougie Cowan | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.