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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.35+5.12vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.07+2.16vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.51+2.66vs Predicted
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4Washington University0.00+3.07vs Predicted
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5Marquette University0.05+1.88vs Predicted
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6University of Saint Thomas-0.65+2.79vs Predicted
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7Indiana University0.37-1.15vs Predicted
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8University of Chicago0.40-2.14vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-1.27+1.04vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin0.45-4.31vs Predicted
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11Michigan Technological University0.54-5.33vs Predicted
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12Michigan State University0.32-5.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.12Northwestern University0.350.1%1st Place
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4.16University of Michigan1.070.2%1st Place
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5.66Purdue University0.510.1%1st Place
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7.07Washington University0.000.1%1st Place
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6.88Marquette University0.050.1%1st Place
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8.79University of Saint Thomas-0.650.0%1st Place
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5.85Indiana University0.370.1%1st Place
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5.86University of Chicago0.400.1%1st Place
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10.04Ohio State University-1.270.0%1st Place
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5.69University of Wisconsin0.450.1%1st Place
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5.67Michigan Technological University0.540.1%1st Place
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6.23Michigan State University0.320.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikolas Chambers | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| Joe Serpa | 16.3% | 17.5% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Lukas Diehm | 10.7% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Thomas Marino | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 7.0% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 6.7% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 22.3% | 21.3% |
| John Hultquist | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
| Max Zhalilo | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 3.3% |
| Emily Williams | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 16.6% | 46.2% |
| Calvin Lutton | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Andrew Michels | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Dougie Cowan | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.