Race 5A

mcsa-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Nikolas Chambers 8.1% 8.6% 7.5% 10.5% 8.3% 10.3% 9.1% 9.2% 9.8% 9.3% 5.9% 3.4%
Dougie Cowan 7.6% 9.1% 9.2% 9.2% 7.7% 10.5% 9.4% 9.6% 9.1% 8.8% 7.4% 2.4%
John Hultquist 9.7% 7.6% 9.3% 8.5% 9.9% 8.0% 10.0% 11.1% 8.4% 9.2% 5.9% 2.4%
Joe Serpa 16.7% 16.8% 15.4% 12.5% 10.0% 9.1% 6.7% 5.1% 3.4% 3.2% 0.7% 0.4%
Eric Hoyerman 6.2% 6.8% 6.9% 7.6% 8.8% 7.2% 9.6% 9.0% 9.1% 10.9% 11.0% 6.9%
Max Zhalilo 9.7% 8.3% 8.8% 10.0% 8.4% 10.6% 9.8% 8.3% 9.8% 7.7% 5.9% 2.7%
Andrew Michels 11.2% 11.4% 10.2% 10.6% 10.5% 9.0% 8.3% 8.7% 7.7% 6.3% 4.6% 1.5%
Calvin Lutton 11.3% 10.2% 9.2% 8.3% 9.9% 9.2% 9.7% 8.4% 8.0% 7.8% 4.9% 3.1%
Thomas Marino 4.4% 6.2% 7.4% 8.1% 9.4% 8.7% 9.4% 9.1% 10.5% 10.3% 11.7% 4.8%
Emily Williams 1.5% 2.4% 2.9% 2.2% 2.8% 1.9% 3.4% 3.9% 7.3% 8.1% 15.8% 47.8%
Lukas Diehm 10.2% 8.5% 10.7% 9.1% 10.6% 10.3% 7.9% 10.4% 8.4% 6.2% 5.6% 2.1%
Rakesh Dhiman 3.4% 4.1% 2.5% 3.4% 3.7% 5.2% 6.7% 7.2% 8.5% 12.2% 20.6% 22.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.