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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.07+3.24vs Predicted
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2Purdue University0.51+3.65vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University0.54+2.55vs Predicted
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4Washington University0.00+3.10vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago0.40+0.94vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.35+0.12vs Predicted
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7Marquette University0.05-0.24vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University0.32-1.94vs Predicted
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9Indiana University0.37-3.17vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin0.45-4.27vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University-1.27-0.82vs Predicted
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12University of Saint Thomas-0.65-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.24University of Michigan1.070.2%1st Place
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5.65Purdue University0.510.1%1st Place
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5.55Michigan Technological University0.540.1%1st Place
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7.1Washington University0.000.1%1st Place
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5.94University of Chicago0.400.1%1st Place
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6.12Northwestern University0.350.1%1st Place
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6.76Marquette University0.050.1%1st Place
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6.06Michigan State University0.320.1%1st Place
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5.83Indiana University0.370.1%1st Place
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5.73University of Wisconsin0.450.1%1st Place
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10.18Ohio State University-1.270.0%1st Place
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8.82University of Saint Thomas-0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Serpa | 16.9% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Lukas Diehm | 8.9% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Andrew Michels | 11.9% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Thomas Marino | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 7.0% |
| Max Zhalilo | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 2.2% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 2.3% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 5.7% |
| Dougie Cowan | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 3.5% |
| John Hultquist | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 1.7% |
| Calvin Lutton | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Emily Williams | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 15.4% | 51.1% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 22.6% | 20.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.