Race 2B

mcsa-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Charlotte Kane 13.3% 12.6% 13.3% 11.9% 11.7% 10.8% 9.6% 7.9% 4.3% 3.4% 1.2% 0.0%
Justin Skene 11.7% 14.4% 11.2% 11.2% 11.7% 11.6% 9.8% 8.2% 5.7% 3.5% 0.8% 0.2%
Noah Hallerman 7.8% 5.9% 8.0% 7.0% 7.7% 9.7% 10.1% 13.3% 13.0% 10.3% 5.2% 2.0%
Dominique DeLano 4.9% 5.2% 6.5% 8.3% 9.6% 8.9% 10.9% 11.6% 11.7% 11.8% 7.7% 2.9%
Brittany Shabino 5.9% 6.9% 6.5% 8.5% 9.4% 8.9% 10.9% 11.0% 13.0% 10.7% 5.6% 2.7%
Nithya Balachander 18.3% 16.4% 14.4% 12.4% 11.3% 9.9% 6.2% 5.7% 3.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Matthew Beretta 8.7% 8.6% 9.3% 11.1% 8.8% 10.2% 10.7% 11.1% 10.1% 6.8% 3.2% 1.4%
Brody Schwartz 14.9% 13.1% 13.1% 10.5% 10.5% 9.2% 9.4% 9.1% 5.5% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3%
Nick Myneni 9.8% 11.2% 12.7% 11.8% 11.0% 10.6% 10.9% 8.6% 7.6% 4.4% 1.2% 0.2%
Meredith Moore 1.8% 2.5% 2.0% 2.2% 2.9% 2.9% 3.8% 6.2% 9.0% 15.2% 25.6% 25.9%
Noah Troyer 2.1% 1.6% 1.8% 3.5% 3.3% 5.0% 5.7% 5.1% 10.8% 17.8% 24.3% 19.0%
Conall Lynch 0.8% 1.6% 1.2% 1.6% 2.1% 2.3% 2.0% 2.2% 5.5% 11.8% 23.5% 45.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.