Race 3B

mcsa-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Christian Ehrnrooth 19.0% 17.3% 14.7% 15.2% 10.1% 9.2% 7.0% 3.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Brittany Shabino 4.6% 7.5% 7.0% 7.8% 10.0% 9.4% 10.4% 11.8% 15.3% 11.3% 3.9% 1.0%
Dominique DeLano 6.7% 5.3% 6.5% 7.6% 7.3% 8.6% 11.8% 11.8% 16.5% 12.2% 4.9% 0.8%
Brody Schwartz 11.2% 13.0% 13.2% 12.1% 12.0% 12.3% 8.3% 8.8% 5.2% 3.0% 0.9% 0.0%
Justin Skene 11.7% 12.6% 11.6% 13.6% 11.1% 11.5% 9.0% 7.2% 7.4% 3.3% 0.9% 0.1%
Nithya Balachander 16.8% 15.4% 15.1% 12.5% 12.0% 10.1% 7.9% 4.7% 3.8% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Beretta 8.6% 7.8% 9.4% 9.4% 11.6% 8.9% 12.8% 10.9% 9.5% 6.9% 3.0% 1.2%
Nick Myneni 10.7% 11.0% 11.5% 9.7% 11.4% 9.7% 11.8% 10.1% 7.6% 4.4% 1.7% 0.4%
Noah Troyer 1.7% 1.6% 2.2% 2.8% 3.0% 5.5% 6.6% 9.7% 10.1% 24.0% 22.1% 10.7%
Noah Hallerman 7.0% 6.0% 7.3% 8.0% 8.7% 10.3% 9.8% 14.7% 11.5% 11.6% 4.2% 0.9%
Conall Lynch 1.4% 1.3% 1.0% 0.7% 1.3% 2.7% 2.8% 3.7% 7.0% 13.2% 32.1% 32.8%
Matthew Sullivan 0.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.6% 1.5% 1.8% 1.8% 2.7% 3.7% 7.7% 25.8% 52.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.