Race 4B

mcsa-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Christian Ehrnrooth 18.9% 16.9% 16.2% 13.8% 11.4% 10.0% 5.6% 3.7% 2.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Brody Schwartz 11.6% 13.2% 12.3% 11.4% 13.2% 10.5% 10.1% 8.0% 6.2% 2.6% 0.9% 0.0%
Justin Skene 13.7% 9.4% 11.1% 11.9% 12.9% 11.7% 11.0% 8.7% 6.0% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
Brittany Shabino 4.5% 5.8% 7.6% 9.4% 8.3% 9.9% 11.8% 12.6% 11.1% 12.9% 5.2% 0.9%
Matthew Beretta 7.5% 9.0% 7.5% 10.3% 10.2% 11.4% 9.5% 12.2% 11.4% 7.5% 3.1% 0.4%
Noah Hallerman 6.4% 6.4% 8.2% 6.5% 7.4% 10.6% 11.5% 12.3% 13.7% 11.5% 4.7% 0.8%
Dominique DeLano 5.8% 7.3% 6.4% 7.1% 8.7% 8.2% 10.9% 12.8% 13.6% 11.9% 5.7% 1.6%
Nithya Balachander 19.1% 16.3% 13.2% 12.3% 10.9% 8.6% 9.0% 5.4% 3.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Nick Myneni 9.0% 10.8% 12.7% 11.6% 11.8% 11.4% 10.5% 8.9% 8.3% 3.9% 1.0% 0.1%
Conall Lynch 0.9% 1.1% 1.6% 2.3% 2.1% 2.3% 2.6% 4.0% 7.6% 13.2% 32.0% 30.3%
Matthew Sullivan 1.0% 0.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.9% 0.7% 2.3% 3.1% 4.8% 8.4% 21.5% 55.0%
Noah Troyer 1.6% 3.2% 1.9% 3.0% 2.2% 4.7% 5.2% 8.3% 12.1% 22.5% 24.6% 10.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.