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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Oregon2.76+1.32vs Predicted
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2University of Washington2.87+0.18vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University2.02+0.16vs Predicted
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5University of Puget Sound1.26-1.00vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.88-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32University of Oregon2.760.3%1st Place
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2.18University of Washington2.870.4%1st Place
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3.16Western Washington University2.020.1%1st Place
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4.0University of Puget Sound1.260.1%1st Place
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3.33Western Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliot Drake | 32.6% | 27.9% | 19.9% | 13.9% | 5.7% |
| Glen Stellmacher | 35.3% | 29.0% | 21.3% | 11.2% | 3.2% |
| Bryan Rust | 14.6% | 17.9% | 22.8% | 26.2% | 18.5% |
| Mike Knape | 5.3% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 21.7% | 49.2% |
| Erika Vranizan | 12.2% | 15.9% | 21.5% | 27.0% | 23.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.