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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.77+7.23vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.10+7.44vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.99+4.98vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.84+5.21vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.56+1.87vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.45+5.44vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.64-0.33vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.79+0.84vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+0.06vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.07+1.67vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.09+0.27vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.71-6.82vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.18-1.05vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.31-3.00vs Predicted
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15Harvard University1.90-5.42vs Predicted
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16Tulane University1.34-5.09vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University1.86-7.31vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy1.18-5.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.23University of Pennsylvania1.777.6%1st Place
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9.44Dartmouth College2.104.8%1st Place
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7.98Brown University1.996.1%1st Place
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9.21Bowdoin College1.845.1%1st Place
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6.87Boston College2.568.5%1st Place
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11.44College of Charleston1.452.8%1st Place
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6.67Stanford University2.6410.5%1st Place
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8.84Cornell University1.795.8%1st Place
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9.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.5%1st Place
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11.67George Washington University1.073.0%1st Place
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11.27North Carolina State University1.093.4%1st Place
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5.18Yale University2.7114.3%1st Place
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11.95Northeastern University1.183.3%1st Place
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11.0Roger Williams University1.313.4%1st Place
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9.58Harvard University1.904.8%1st Place
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10.91Tulane University1.343.5%1st Place
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9.69Georgetown University1.865.0%1st Place
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12.02U. S. Naval Academy1.182.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Sarah Young | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Grace Squires | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% |
| Hannah Freeman | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 12.8% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 14.3% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 15.2% |
| Tavia Smith | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% |
| Mia Hanes | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% |
| Kelly Bates | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% |
| Ava Farley | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.