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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Chicago1.00+2.50vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.30+2.99vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.07+2.64vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-0.27+2.42vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.53-0.53vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin-0.16+0.18vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.20-0.83vs Predicted
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8Purdue University0.50-3.56vs Predicted
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9Washington University-1.53+0.43vs Predicted
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10Indiana University-0.72-2.46vs Predicted
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11University of Saint Thomas-1.95-0.69vs Predicted
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12Ohio State University-1.27-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5University of Chicago1.000.2%1st Place
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4.99Michigan Technological University0.300.1%1st Place
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5.64Northwestern University0.070.1%1st Place
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6.42Michigan State University-0.270.1%1st Place
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4.47University of Michigan0.530.1%1st Place
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6.18University of Wisconsin-0.160.1%1st Place
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6.17Marquette University-0.200.1%1st Place
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4.44Purdue University0.500.2%1st Place
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9.43Washington University-1.530.0%1st Place
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7.54Indiana University-0.720.0%1st Place
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10.31University of Saint Thomas-1.950.0%1st Place
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8.92Ohio State University-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Ehrnrooth | 21.3% | 18.2% | 17.9% | 14.3% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nick Myneni | 10.3% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Beretta | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Dominique DeLano | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 1.6% |
| Brody Schwartz | 13.8% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Noah Hallerman | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| Brittany Shabino | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Justin Skene | 16.0% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Meredith Moore | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 16.0% | 23.2% | 23.7% |
| Peter Grumbling | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 5.9% |
| Conall Lynch | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 12.0% | 18.4% | 46.7% |
| Noah Troyer | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 21.8% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.