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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.50+3.56vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago1.00+1.42vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University0.30+2.03vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.20+2.25vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin-0.16+1.13vs Predicted
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6Indiana University-0.72+1.65vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.07-1.56vs Predicted
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8Washington University-1.53+1.35vs Predicted
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9University of Saint Thomas-1.95+1.19vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University-1.27-1.17vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan0.53-6.40vs Predicted
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12Michigan State University-0.27-5.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.56Purdue University0.500.1%1st Place
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3.42University of Chicago1.000.2%1st Place
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5.03Michigan Technological University0.300.1%1st Place
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6.25Marquette University-0.200.1%1st Place
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6.13University of Wisconsin-0.160.1%1st Place
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7.65Indiana University-0.720.0%1st Place
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5.44Northwestern University0.070.1%1st Place
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9.35Washington University-1.530.0%1st Place
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10.19University of Saint Thomas-1.950.0%1st Place
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8.83Ohio State University-1.270.0%1st Place
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4.6University of Michigan0.530.1%1st Place
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6.53Michigan State University-0.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Skene | 14.5% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Christian Ehrnrooth | 22.1% | 20.7% | 16.3% | 13.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nick Myneni | 11.4% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Brittany Shabino | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Noah Hallerman | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 1.7% |
| Peter Grumbling | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 11.9% | 7.0% |
| Matthew Beretta | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Meredith Moore | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 22.3% | 26.1% |
| Conall Lynch | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 18.8% | 43.0% |
| Noah Troyer | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 16.4% | 22.2% | 16.3% |
| Brody Schwartz | 13.5% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Dominique DeLano | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.