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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.43+4.44vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.00+4.79vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia0.29+2.84vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.62+0.90vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.40+3.29vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.41-0.48vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-0.46+1.38vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.25-1.92vs Predicted
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9Oregon State University-0.31-1.13vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria-0.32-1.98vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.57-2.18vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-0.50-3.19vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-1.16-2.17vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-1.03-3.78vs Predicted
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15University of British Columbia-3.12-0.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.44Western Washington University0.430.1%1st Place
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6.79University of Washington-0.000.1%1st Place
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5.84University of British Columbia0.290.1%1st Place
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4.9University of Washington0.620.2%1st Place
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8.29University of Victoria-0.400.1%1st Place
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5.52Western Washington University0.410.1%1st Place
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8.38University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
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6.08University of Washington0.250.1%1st Place
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7.87Oregon State University-0.310.1%1st Place
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8.02University of Victoria-0.320.1%1st Place
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8.82Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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8.81Western Washington University-0.500.0%1st Place
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10.83University of Victoria-1.160.0%1st Place
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10.22Western Washington University-1.030.0%1st Place
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14.2University of British Columbia-3.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Nolasco | 12.1% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 6.9% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Nelson Fretenburg | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Erin Pamplin | 15.5% | 14.7% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 1.4% |
| Dalton Lovett | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Emily Avey | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 1.6% |
| Zackery Martin | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Liam Brinton | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 0.8% |
| Nathan Lemke | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 3.1% |
| Caroline Hurley | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 0.8% |
| MacLain Walsworth | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 24.6% | 6.8% |
| Matthew Lindburg | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 19.1% | 4.5% |
| Jack Rector | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 79.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.