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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.43+4.48vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University-0.31+5.72vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.25+2.96vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.62+0.94vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.00+1.99vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.57+2.85vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.41-1.39vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-0.46+0.45vs Predicted
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9University of British Columbia0.29-3.16vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria-0.32-1.95vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria-0.40-2.72vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia-3.12+2.33vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-1.03-2.57vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-0.50-5.53vs Predicted
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15University of Victoria-1.16-4.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.48Western Washington University0.430.1%1st Place
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7.72Oregon State University-0.310.1%1st Place
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5.96University of Washington0.250.1%1st Place
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4.94University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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6.99University of Washington-0.000.1%1st Place
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8.85Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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5.61Western Washington University0.410.1%1st Place
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8.45University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
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5.84University of British Columbia0.290.1%1st Place
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8.05University of Victoria-0.320.1%1st Place
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8.28University of Victoria-0.400.0%1st Place
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14.33University of British Columbia-3.120.0%1st Place
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10.43Western Washington University-1.030.0%1st Place
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8.47Western Washington University-0.500.0%1st Place
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10.59University of Victoria-1.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Nolasco | 12.4% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Liam Brinton | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Zackery Martin | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Erin Pamplin | 14.4% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 0.1% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 1.5% |
| Dalton Lovett | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Emily Avey | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 1.0% |
| Nelson Fretenburg | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Lemke | 5.3% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 0.8% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 3.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 1.2% |
| Jack Rector | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 6.7% | 82.0% |
| Matthew Lindburg | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 21.6% | 5.0% |
| Caroline Hurley | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 1.4% |
| MacLain Walsworth | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 16.7% | 23.5% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.