← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Oregon-0.14+5.95vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington0.25+3.72vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington0.62+1.68vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University-0.57+4.43vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University0.41+0.50vs Predicted
-
6University of Victoria-1.16+4.30vs Predicted
-
7University of British Columbia0.29-1.34vs Predicted
-
8University of Washington-0.00-1.32vs Predicted
-
9Oregon State University-2.12+3.57vs Predicted
-
10Western Washington University0.43-4.61vs Predicted
-
11Western Washington University-1.03-1.12vs Predicted
-
12Western Washington University-0.50-3.52vs Predicted
-
13University of Victoria-0.32-5.13vs Predicted
-
14University of British Columbia-3.12+0.06vs Predicted
-
15University of Victoria-0.40-7.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.95University of Oregon-0.140.1%1st Place
-
5.72University of Washington0.250.1%1st Place
-
4.68University of Washington0.620.2%1st Place
-
8.43Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
-
5.5Western Washington University0.410.1%1st Place
-
10.3University of Victoria-1.160.0%1st Place
-
5.66University of British Columbia0.290.1%1st Place
-
6.68University of Washington-0.000.1%1st Place
-
12.57Oregon State University-2.120.0%1st Place
-
5.39Western Washington University0.430.1%1st Place
-
9.88Western Washington University-1.030.0%1st Place
-
8.48Western Washington University-0.500.0%1st Place
-
7.87University of Victoria-0.320.1%1st Place
-
14.06University of British Columbia-3.120.0%1st Place
-
7.84University of Victoria-0.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Murphy | 8.5% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Zackery Martin | 10.2% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 15.6% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 0.8% |
| Dalton Lovett | 11.5% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| MacLain Walsworth | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 19.0% | 14.7% | 3.6% |
| Nelson Fretenburg | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Ethan Wickman | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 35.9% | 21.1% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 11.5% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Lindburg | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 16.6% | 12.5% | 3.6% |
| Caroline Hurley | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Nathan Lemke | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Jack Rector | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 16.1% | 67.5% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.