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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-0.57+7.30vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.43+3.18vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.25+2.81vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.62+0.80vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.00+1.76vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.41-0.62vs Predicted
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7University of British Columbia0.29-1.31vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-1.16+2.27vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria-0.40-1.12vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.50-1.70vs Predicted
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11Oregon State University-2.12+1.59vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-0.32-4.09vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-0.14-5.70vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-1.03-4.19vs Predicted
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15University of British Columbia-3.12-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.3Western Washington University-0.570.1%1st Place
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5.18Western Washington University0.430.1%1st Place
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5.81University of Washington0.250.1%1st Place
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4.8University of Washington0.620.2%1st Place
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6.76University of Washington-0.000.1%1st Place
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5.38Western Washington University0.410.1%1st Place
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5.69University of British Columbia0.290.1%1st Place
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10.27University of Victoria-1.160.0%1st Place
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7.88University of Victoria-0.400.1%1st Place
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8.3Western Washington University-0.500.0%1st Place
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12.59Oregon State University-2.120.0%1st Place
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7.91University of Victoria-0.320.0%1st Place
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7.3University of Oregon-0.140.1%1st Place
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9.81Western Washington University-1.030.0%1st Place
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14.0University of British Columbia-3.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kira Blumhagen | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 1.3% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 11.5% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zackery Martin | 9.9% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 15.4% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Dalton Lovett | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nelson Fretenburg | 11.6% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| MacLain Walsworth | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 13.8% | 18.4% | 14.8% | 4.0% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Hurley | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 0.7% |
| Ethan Wickman | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 36.8% | 22.8% |
| Nathan Lemke | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Dylan Murphy | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Lindburg | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 12.1% | 18.5% | 11.2% | 2.5% |
| Jack Rector | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 15.9% | 67.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.