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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.43+3.80vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.41+2.78vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia0.29+2.19vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.25+1.40vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University-2.12+7.22vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.00+0.13vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-0.46+0.59vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-1.20+1.97vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria-0.32-1.86vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria-0.40-2.51vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-1.03-1.52vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-0.57-3.80vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-1.16-2.99vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-0.50-6.25vs Predicted
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15University of British Columbia-3.12-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8Western Washington University0.430.1%1st Place
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4.78Western Washington University0.410.1%1st Place
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5.19University of British Columbia0.290.1%1st Place
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5.4University of Washington0.250.1%1st Place
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12.22Oregon State University-2.120.0%1st Place
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6.13University of Washington-0.000.1%1st Place
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7.59University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
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9.97University of Washington-1.200.0%1st Place
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7.14University of Victoria-0.320.1%1st Place
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7.49University of Victoria-0.400.1%1st Place
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9.48Western Washington University-1.030.0%1st Place
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8.2Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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10.01University of Victoria-1.160.0%1st Place
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7.75Western Washington University-0.500.1%1st Place
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13.85University of British Columbia-3.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Nolasco | 14.6% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Dalton Lovett | 13.9% | 16.6% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nelson Fretenburg | 13.0% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zackery Martin | 12.6% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Ethan Wickman | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 32.2% | 21.7% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Emily Avey | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Lauren McClintock | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 15.9% | 12.9% | 4.3% |
| Nathan Lemke | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Lindburg | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 3.8% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| MacLain Walsworth | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 3.4% |
| Caroline Hurley | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Jack Rector | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 16.2% | 63.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.