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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of British Columbia0.29+4.24vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.25+3.22vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.41+1.80vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.43+0.88vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.32+2.25vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.00+0.17vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University-2.12+5.19vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.57+0.03vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-1.03+0.37vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria-0.40-2.55vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-0.46-3.35vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-0.50-4.02vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-1.16-3.02vs Predicted
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14University of Washington-1.20-4.08vs Predicted
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15University of British Columbia-3.12-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.24University of British Columbia0.290.1%1st Place
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5.22University of Washington0.250.1%1st Place
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4.8Western Washington University0.410.2%1st Place
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4.88Western Washington University0.430.1%1st Place
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7.25University of Victoria-0.320.1%1st Place
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6.17University of Washington-0.000.1%1st Place
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12.19Oregon State University-2.120.0%1st Place
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8.03Western Washington University-0.570.1%1st Place
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9.37Western Washington University-1.030.0%1st Place
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7.45University of Victoria-0.400.1%1st Place
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7.65University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
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7.98Western Washington University-0.500.0%1st Place
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9.98University of Victoria-1.160.0%1st Place
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9.92University of Washington-1.200.0%1st Place
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13.86University of British Columbia-3.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nelson Fretenburg | 12.3% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Zackery Martin | 11.2% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dalton Lovett | 15.2% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 15.0% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Lemke | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Wickman | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 15.0% | 30.5% | 21.7% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Lindburg | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 8.2% | 3.0% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Emily Avey | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Hurley | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| MacLain Walsworth | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 3.8% |
| Lauren McClintock | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 3.2% |
| Jack Rector | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 15.1% | 65.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.