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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.43+4.50vs Predicted
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2University of British Columbia0.29+3.85vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.00+3.84vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.41+1.62vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.32+3.07vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.57+2.90vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.25-0.85vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.62-2.98vs Predicted
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9Oregon State University-0.31-1.09vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.50-1.28vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-0.14-3.55vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-1.03-1.44vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-0.40-4.48vs Predicted
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14University of Victoria-1.16-3.32vs Predicted
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15University of British Columbia-3.12-0.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.5Western Washington University0.430.1%1st Place
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5.85University of British Columbia0.290.1%1st Place
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6.84University of Washington-0.000.1%1st Place
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5.62Western Washington University0.410.1%1st Place
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8.07University of Victoria-0.320.1%1st Place
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8.9Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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6.15University of Washington0.250.1%1st Place
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5.02University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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7.91Oregon State University-0.310.0%1st Place
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8.72Western Washington University-0.500.0%1st Place
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7.45University of Oregon-0.140.1%1st Place
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10.56Western Washington University-1.030.0%1st Place
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8.52University of Victoria-0.400.0%1st Place
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10.68University of Victoria-1.160.0%1st Place
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14.22University of British Columbia-3.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Nolasco | 12.2% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Nelson Fretenburg | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Dalton Lovett | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Lemke | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 1.1% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 1.6% |
| Zackery Martin | 9.8% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Erin Pamplin | 14.1% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Liam Brinton | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 0.8% |
| Caroline Hurley | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 1.7% |
| Dylan Murphy | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Matthew Lindburg | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 22.8% | 4.6% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 1.2% |
| MacLain Walsworth | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 15.2% | 23.9% | 6.4% |
| Jack Rector | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 80.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.