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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.96+7.75vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.18+10.22vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.77+5.58vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.07+7.85vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.71+0.24vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+3.38vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.84+2.27vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.86+1.71vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.34+1.98vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.17-2.19vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.56-4.03vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.99-3.69vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.45-1.53vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.10-4.55vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.31-3.91vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.64-9.54vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.09-5.41vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.18-6.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.75Cornell University1.964.3%1st Place
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12.22U. S. Naval Academy1.182.2%1st Place
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8.58University of Pennsylvania1.775.8%1st Place
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11.85George Washington University1.072.2%1st Place
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5.24Yale University2.7115.2%1st Place
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9.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.2%1st Place
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9.27Bowdoin College1.845.1%1st Place
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9.71Georgetown University1.864.0%1st Place
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10.98Tulane University1.343.1%1st Place
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7.81Harvard University2.177.5%1st Place
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6.97Boston College2.569.4%1st Place
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8.31Brown University1.996.9%1st Place
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11.47College of Charleston1.453.5%1st Place
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9.45Dartmouth College2.106.3%1st Place
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11.09Roger Williams University1.312.8%1st Place
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6.46Stanford University2.6410.2%1st Place
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11.59North Carolina State University1.093.0%1st Place
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11.87Northeastern University1.183.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winborne Majette | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Ava Farley | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 14.3% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 12.8% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 15.2% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% |
| Kelly Bates | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% |
| Mia Hanes | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.4% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Grace Squires | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% |
| Sarah Young | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Tavia Smith | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% |
| Hannah Freeman | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 12.6% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.