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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.87+1.23vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University2.02+1.17vs Predicted
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4University of Puget Sound1.26+0.01vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon2.76-2.71vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.88-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23University of Washington2.870.3%1st Place
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3.17Western Washington University2.020.1%1st Place
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4.01University of Puget Sound1.260.1%1st Place
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2.29University of Oregon2.760.3%1st Place
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3.31Western Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glen Stellmacher | 33.9% | 30.2% | 19.4% | 12.3% | 4.2% |
| Bryan Rust | 12.8% | 18.3% | 25.7% | 26.0% | 17.2% |
| Mike Knape | 6.9% | 8.3% | 13.8% | 18.9% | 52.1% |
| Elliot Drake | 32.8% | 28.4% | 21.2% | 12.1% | 5.5% |
| Erika Vranizan | 13.6% | 14.8% | 19.9% | 30.7% | 21.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.