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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-0.00+5.88vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.43+3.44vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.62+1.93vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.25+2.14vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.41+0.76vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia0.29-0.01vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.57+1.82vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-0.32+0.04vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-0.14-1.64vs Predicted
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10Oregon State University-0.31-1.94vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria-0.40-2.65vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-1.16-1.08vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-0.50-4.17vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-1.03-3.73vs Predicted
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15University of British Columbia-3.12-0.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.88University of Washington-0.000.1%1st Place
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5.44Western Washington University0.430.1%1st Place
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4.93University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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6.14University of Washington0.250.1%1st Place
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5.76Western Washington University0.410.1%1st Place
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5.99University of British Columbia0.290.1%1st Place
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8.82Western Washington University-0.570.1%1st Place
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8.04University of Victoria-0.320.1%1st Place
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7.36University of Oregon-0.140.1%1st Place
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8.06Oregon State University-0.310.1%1st Place
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8.35University of Victoria-0.400.0%1st Place
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10.92University of Victoria-1.160.0%1st Place
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8.83Western Washington University-0.500.0%1st Place
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10.27Western Washington University-1.030.0%1st Place
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14.21University of British Columbia-3.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Pentimonti | 8.3% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 10.6% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 14.3% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Zackery Martin | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Dalton Lovett | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nelson Fretenburg | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 2.5% |
| Nathan Lemke | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 1.3% |
| Dylan Murphy | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Liam Brinton | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 1.0% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 2.0% |
| MacLain Walsworth | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 25.7% | 6.0% |
| Caroline Hurley | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 1.4% |
| Matthew Lindburg | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 20.5% | 4.5% |
| Jack Rector | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 7.2% | 79.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.