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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria-0.50+6.42vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.48+5.24vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.51+4.60vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.00+1.97vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia0.64-0.82vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.08-0.24vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.43-2.58vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-1.09+1.32vs Predicted
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9Oregon State University-1.15+0.73vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria-0.55-2.18vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.68-2.79vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-1.01-2.80vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-1.38-2.81vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-0.68-6.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.42University of Victoria-0.500.1%1st Place
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7.24University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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7.6University of Washington-0.510.1%1st Place
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5.97Western Washington University-0.000.1%1st Place
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4.18University of British Columbia0.640.2%1st Place
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5.76Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
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4.42University of Washington0.430.2%1st Place
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9.32University of Victoria-1.090.0%1st Place
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9.73Oregon State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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7.82University of Victoria-0.550.1%1st Place
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8.21Western Washington University-0.680.0%1st Place
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9.2Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
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10.19University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
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7.95Western Washington University-0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maya Gray | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% |
| Jaden Unruh | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 3.3% |
| Virginia Higgins | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% |
| Leopold Sabharwal | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Gavin Adams | 17.4% | 16.7% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Gerber | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Maxwell Miller | 17.2% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Ethan Lowenthal | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 15.2% |
| Marty Weigel | 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 15.5% |
| Bailey Logan | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% |
| Cooper Snell | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% |
| Anna Morrow | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 14.4% |
| Sadie Creemer | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 24.2% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.