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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.43+3.64vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.08+3.44vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria-0.50+4.54vs Predicted
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4University of British Columbia0.64+0.12vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.68+3.22vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-1.01+3.28vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.00-1.29vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University-1.15+1.52vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-1.38+1.34vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.51-2.33vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.68-2.85vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-1.09-2.57vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-0.48-5.65vs Predicted
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14University of Victoria-0.55-6.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.64University of Washington0.430.1%1st Place
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5.44Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
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7.54University of Victoria-0.500.1%1st Place
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4.12University of British Columbia0.640.2%1st Place
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8.22Western Washington University-0.680.0%1st Place
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9.28Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
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5.71Western Washington University-0.000.1%1st Place
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9.52Oregon State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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10.34University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
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7.67University of Washington-0.510.1%1st Place
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8.15Western Washington University-0.680.0%1st Place
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9.43University of Victoria-1.090.0%1st Place
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7.35University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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7.6University of Victoria-0.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 15.0% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Gerber | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Maya Gray | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% |
| Gavin Adams | 18.4% | 17.1% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Cooper Snell | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% |
| Anna Morrow | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 14.2% |
| Leopold Sabharwal | 11.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Marty Weigel | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 18.1% |
| Sadie Creemer | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 17.8% | 21.2% |
| Virginia Higgins | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 3.6% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% |
| Ethan Lowenthal | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 15.6% |
| Jaden Unruh | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% |
| Bailey Logan | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.