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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.43+3.54vs Predicted
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2University of British Columbia0.64+1.89vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria-0.55+4.57vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.00+1.82vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.48+2.37vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-0.50+1.47vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University-1.15+2.14vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.08-2.41vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria-1.09+0.23vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-1.01-0.95vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.68-3.00vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.51-4.55vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-0.68-5.18vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon-2.23-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54University of Washington0.430.1%1st Place
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3.89University of British Columbia0.640.2%1st Place
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7.57University of Victoria-0.550.1%1st Place
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5.82Western Washington University-0.000.1%1st Place
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7.37University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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7.47University of Victoria-0.500.1%1st Place
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9.14Oregon State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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5.59Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
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9.23University of Victoria-1.090.0%1st Place
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9.05Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
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8.0Western Washington University-0.680.0%1st Place
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7.45University of Washington-0.510.1%1st Place
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7.82Western Washington University-0.680.1%1st Place
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12.04University of Oregon-2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 15.0% | 17.1% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Gavin Adams | 20.8% | 16.8% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Bailey Logan | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 2.3% |
| Leopold Sabharwal | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Jaden Unruh | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Maya Gray | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% |
| Marty Weigel | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 9.7% |
| Nathan Gerber | 10.8% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Ethan Lowenthal | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 8.1% |
| Anna Morrow | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 8.6% |
| Cooper Snell | 4.7% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.2% |
| Virginia Higgins | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 3.7% |
| John Kish | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 13.3% | 52.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.