← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of British Columbia0.64+3.00vs Predicted
-
2University of Victoria-0.55+5.37vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University-0.00+2.76vs Predicted
-
4Oregon State University-1.15+5.44vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University-1.01+4.01vs Predicted
-
6University of Washington-0.48+1.48vs Predicted
-
7University of Victoria-0.50+0.13vs Predicted
-
8University of Washington0.43-3.38vs Predicted
-
9Western Washington University-0.68-0.95vs Predicted
-
10University of Oregon-2.23+2.15vs Predicted
-
11University of Washington-0.51-3.51vs Predicted
-
12University of Victoria-1.09-2.74vs Predicted
-
13Western Washington University0.08-7.51vs Predicted
-
14Western Washington University-0.68-6.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.0University of British Columbia0.640.2%1st Place
-
7.37University of Victoria-0.550.1%1st Place
-
5.76Western Washington University-0.000.1%1st Place
-
9.44Oregon State University-1.150.0%1st Place
-
9.01Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
-
7.48University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
-
7.13University of Victoria-0.500.1%1st Place
-
4.62University of Washington0.430.2%1st Place
-
8.05Western Washington University-0.680.1%1st Place
-
12.15University of Oregon-2.230.0%1st Place
-
7.49University of Washington-0.510.1%1st Place
-
9.26University of Victoria-1.090.0%1st Place
-
5.49Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
-
7.75Western Washington University-0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Adams | 20.6% | 16.8% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Bailey Logan | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
| Leopold Sabharwal | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Marty Weigel | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 11.5% |
| Anna Morrow | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 8.0% |
| Jaden Unruh | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 2.8% |
| Maya Gray | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 17.0% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Snell | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 4.0% |
| John Kish | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 13.8% | 53.2% |
| Virginia Higgins | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% |
| Ethan Lowenthal | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 9.8% |
| Nathan Gerber | 10.6% | 12.7% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.