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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-0.00+4.91vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria-0.50+5.27vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.48+4.45vs Predicted
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4University of British Columbia0.64+0.09vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.68+3.26vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.43-1.23vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.51+0.27vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-1.09+1.31vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria-0.55-1.20vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-1.01-0.72vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.08-5.23vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon-1.38-1.67vs Predicted
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13Oregon State University-1.15-3.46vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-0.68-6.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.91Western Washington University-0.000.1%1st Place
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7.27University of Victoria-0.500.1%1st Place
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7.45University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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4.09University of British Columbia0.640.2%1st Place
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8.26Western Washington University-0.680.0%1st Place
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4.77University of Washington0.430.1%1st Place
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7.27University of Washington-0.510.1%1st Place
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9.31University of Victoria-1.090.0%1st Place
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7.8University of Victoria-0.550.1%1st Place
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9.28Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
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5.77Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
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10.33University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
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9.54Oregon State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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7.94Western Washington University-0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leopold Sabharwal | 9.1% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Maya Gray | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% |
| Jaden Unruh | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Gavin Adams | 19.2% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Snell | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% |
| Maxwell Miller | 14.2% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Virginia Higgins | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% |
| Ethan Lowenthal | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 16.1% |
| Bailey Logan | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 4.5% |
| Anna Morrow | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 12.7% |
| Nathan Gerber | 11.1% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Sadie Creemer | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 25.0% |
| Marty Weigel | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 15.6% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.