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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of British Columbia0.64+3.12vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.08+3.40vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-1.01+6.10vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.00+1.98vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.55+2.80vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-0.50+1.64vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.43-2.52vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.48-0.61vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.68-0.78vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.51-2.34vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria-1.09-1.55vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-0.68-3.91vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-1.38-2.82vs Predicted
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14Oregon State University-1.15-4.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12University of British Columbia0.640.2%1st Place
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5.4Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
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9.1Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
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5.98Western Washington University-0.000.1%1st Place
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7.8University of Victoria-0.550.0%1st Place
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7.64University of Victoria-0.500.1%1st Place
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4.48University of Washington0.430.2%1st Place
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7.39University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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8.22Western Washington University-0.680.1%1st Place
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7.66University of Washington-0.510.1%1st Place
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9.45University of Victoria-1.090.0%1st Place
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8.09Western Washington University-0.680.0%1st Place
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10.18University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
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9.49Oregon State University-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Adams | 18.6% | 17.9% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gerber | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Anna Morrow | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 13.2% |
| Leopold Sabharwal | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Bailey Logan | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% |
| Maya Gray | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 16.4% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Jaden Unruh | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 4.5% |
| Cooper Snell | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% |
| Virginia Higgins | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 3.7% |
| Ethan Lowenthal | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 15.5% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% |
| Sadie Creemer | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 24.5% |
| Marty Weigel | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.