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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-0.51+6.35vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.00+3.60vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia0.64+1.01vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.48+3.37vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.43-0.30vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-0.50+1.55vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.68+0.71vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-1.09+1.17vs Predicted
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9Oregon State University-1.15+0.50vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.08-4.39vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria-0.55-3.40vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon-2.23+0.12vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-0.68-5.11vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-1.01-5.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.35University of Washington-0.510.1%1st Place
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5.6Western Washington University-0.000.1%1st Place
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4.01University of British Columbia0.640.2%1st Place
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7.37University of Washington-0.480.0%1st Place
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4.7University of Washington0.430.1%1st Place
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7.55University of Victoria-0.500.1%1st Place
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7.71Western Washington University-0.680.1%1st Place
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9.17University of Victoria-1.090.0%1st Place
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9.5Oregon State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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5.61Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
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7.6University of Victoria-0.550.1%1st Place
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12.12University of Oregon-2.230.0%1st Place
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7.89Western Washington University-0.680.1%1st Place
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8.83Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Higgins | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Leopold Sabharwal | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Gavin Adams | 19.8% | 17.7% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jaden Unruh | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 2.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 12.6% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Maya Gray | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 2.0% |
| Cooper Snell | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 3.2% |
| Ethan Lowenthal | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 10.2% |
| Marty Weigel | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 11.6% |
| Nathan Gerber | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Bailey Logan | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
| John Kish | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 52.5% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 4.2% |
| Anna Morrow | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.