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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-0.00+4.75vs Predicted
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2University of British Columbia0.64+1.91vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.43+1.55vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.51+3.45vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.48+2.45vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.68+2.05vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.55+0.25vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-0.50-0.68vs Predicted
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9Oregon State University-1.15+0.48vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria-1.09-0.66vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.08-5.32vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-1.01-3.01vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-2.23-0.99vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-0.68-6.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.75Western Washington University-0.000.1%1st Place
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3.91University of British Columbia0.640.2%1st Place
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4.55University of Washington0.430.1%1st Place
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7.45University of Washington-0.510.1%1st Place
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7.45University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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8.05Western Washington University-0.680.0%1st Place
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7.25University of Victoria-0.550.1%1st Place
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7.32University of Victoria-0.500.1%1st Place
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9.48Oregon State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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9.34University of Victoria-1.090.0%1st Place
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5.68Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
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8.99Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
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12.01University of Oregon-2.230.0%1st Place
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7.77Western Washington University-0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leopold Sabharwal | 9.3% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Gavin Adams | 19.3% | 18.7% | 15.1% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Maxwell Miller | 15.0% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Virginia Higgins | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
| Jaden Unruh | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.1% |
| Cooper Snell | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 3.6% |
| Bailey Logan | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 1.6% |
| Maya Gray | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 2.8% |
| Marty Weigel | 4.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 9.5% |
| Ethan Lowenthal | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 9.5% |
| Nathan Gerber | 11.4% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Anna Morrow | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.0% |
| John Kish | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 13.4% | 52.1% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.