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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of British Columbia0.64+3.03vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.43+2.42vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria-0.55+4.53vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria-0.50+3.41vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University-1.15+4.49vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.48+1.43vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-1.01+1.70vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.68-0.09vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.00-3.10vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.51-2.51vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria-1.09-1.68vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.08-6.42vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-2.23-1.01vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-0.68-6.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.03University of British Columbia0.640.2%1st Place
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4.42University of Washington0.430.2%1st Place
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7.53University of Victoria-0.550.1%1st Place
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7.41University of Victoria-0.500.0%1st Place
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9.49Oregon State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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7.43University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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8.7Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
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7.91Western Washington University-0.680.1%1st Place
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5.9Western Washington University-0.000.1%1st Place
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7.49University of Washington-0.510.1%1st Place
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9.32University of Victoria-1.090.0%1st Place
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5.58Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
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11.99University of Oregon-2.230.0%1st Place
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7.81Western Washington University-0.680.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Adams | 19.9% | 18.6% | 14.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 15.9% | 16.0% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Bailey Logan | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
| Maya Gray | 4.8% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Marty Weigel | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 12.1% |
| Jaden Unruh | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 2.2% |
| Anna Morrow | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 7.8% |
| Cooper Snell | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.0% |
| Leopold Sabharwal | 10.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Virginia Higgins | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
| Ethan Lowenthal | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 9.6% |
| Nathan Gerber | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| John Kish | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 52.0% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.