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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.17+6.98vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.64+4.48vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.34+7.60vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.99+4.44vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.56+2.17vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+3.23vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.77+1.57vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.31+2.89vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.71-3.71vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.10-0.73vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.96-2.20vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University1.86-2.19vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.84-3.64vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy1.18-1.68vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.09-3.56vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston1.45-4.46vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.07-5.09vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.18-6.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.98Harvard University2.176.7%1st Place
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6.48Stanford University2.649.8%1st Place
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10.6Tulane University1.344.0%1st Place
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8.44Brown University1.996.3%1st Place
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7.17Boston College2.567.8%1st Place
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9.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.634.1%1st Place
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8.57University of Pennsylvania1.777.1%1st Place
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10.89Roger Williams University1.313.6%1st Place
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5.29Yale University2.7114.7%1st Place
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9.27Dartmouth College2.105.2%1st Place
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8.8Cornell University1.966.5%1st Place
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9.81Georgetown University1.864.4%1st Place
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9.36Bowdoin College1.845.2%1st Place
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12.32U. S. Naval Academy1.182.5%1st Place
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11.44North Carolina State University1.092.9%1st Place
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11.54College of Charleston1.453.2%1st Place
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11.91George Washington University1.072.6%1st Place
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11.91Northeastern University1.183.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Hannah Freeman | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Mia Hanes | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Sofia Segalla | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Tavia Smith | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 14.7% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Young | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
| Winborne Majette | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% |
| Kelly Bates | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Ava Farley | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 16.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.1% |
| Grace Squires | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 11.2% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 13.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.