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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Washington2.87+0.21vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon2.76-0.67vs Predicted
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4University of Puget Sound1.26-0.01vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.88-1.68vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University2.02-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21University of Washington2.870.3%1st Place
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2.33University of Oregon2.760.3%1st Place
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3.99University of Puget Sound1.260.1%1st Place
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3.32Western Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
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3.16Western Washington University2.020.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glen Stellmacher | 35.0% | 29.0% | 20.7% | 11.0% | 4.3% |
| Elliot Drake | 30.7% | 28.6% | 22.5% | 13.5% | 4.7% |
| Mike Knape | 7.2% | 8.4% | 13.8% | 19.1% | 51.5% |
| Erika Vranizan | 11.8% | 16.8% | 21.0% | 28.7% | 21.7% |
| Bryan Rust | 15.3% | 17.2% | 22.0% | 27.7% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.