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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+1.00vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.70+3.30vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.53+2.75vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.42+1.89vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+0.96vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.50+3.14vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara-0.51+5.65vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.32+1.63vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-0.54+3.79vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California0.64-1.15vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-1.92vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-0.00-0.79vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-0.40-0.81vs Predicted
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14University of Washington0.38-4.71vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-0.72-1.72vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41-6.50vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley-0.24-5.14vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands-2.28-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.0Stanford University3.390.5%1st Place
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5.3University of California at Los Angeles1.700.1%1st Place
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5.75University of Hawaii1.530.1%1st Place
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5.89University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.1%1st Place
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5.96California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
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9.14University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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12.65University of California at Santa Barbara-0.510.0%1st Place
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9.63Arizona State University0.320.0%1st Place
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12.79San Diego State University-0.540.0%1st Place
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8.85University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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9.08University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.0%1st Place
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11.21Western Washington University-0.000.0%1st Place
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12.19University of Victoria-0.400.0%1st Place
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9.29University of Washington0.380.0%1st Place
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13.28University of California at Davis-0.720.0%1st Place
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9.5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
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11.86University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
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16.63California State University Channel Islands-2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 46.3% | 28.1% | 13.6% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Janov | 6.7% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 6.3% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 7.6% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Ariana Fernandez | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 5.8% |
| Matt Grimsley | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Morgan Burton | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 6.1% |
| Morgana Manti | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Blake Roberts | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Leopold Sabharwal | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 2.0% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 4.6% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 18.8% | 8.1% |
| Max Case | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 2.9% |
| Kitana Barrus | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 11.1% | 67.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.