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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University2.15+1.23vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon1.97-0.63vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.62-1.21vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.87-1.37vs Predicted
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6University of Puget Sound0.55-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23Western Washington University2.150.4%1st Place
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2.37University of Oregon1.970.3%1st Place
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2.79Western Washington University1.620.2%1st Place
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3.63University of Washington0.870.1%1st Place
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3.98University of Puget Sound0.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Taylor | 36.1% | 26.9% | 20.0% | 11.8% | 5.2% |
| Andrew Balter | 29.1% | 28.3% | 23.6% | 14.2% | 4.8% |
| Ashley Vincent | 20.4% | 22.4% | 25.4% | 21.7% | 10.1% |
| Thomas Stewart | 8.1% | 12.7% | 19.5% | 27.3% | 32.4% |
| John Elam | 6.3% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 25.0% | 47.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.