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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.71+4.14vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.09+9.59vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.26+8.17vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.56+3.22vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.18+6.98vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.64+0.81vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.34+3.98vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.84+1.09vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.17-1.23vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy1.18+2.20vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.31+0.25vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.99-3.73vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.96-4.48vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.10-4.62vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-5.64vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University1.86-6.36vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.07-4.93vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania1.77-9.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.14Yale University2.7114.6%1st Place
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11.59North Carolina State University1.092.9%1st Place
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11.17College of Charleston1.263.0%1st Place
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7.22Boston College2.568.6%1st Place
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11.98Northeastern University1.182.9%1st Place
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6.81Stanford University2.648.9%1st Place
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10.98Tulane University1.343.5%1st Place
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9.09Bowdoin College1.845.8%1st Place
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7.77Harvard University2.176.2%1st Place
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12.2U. S. Naval Academy1.182.0%1st Place
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11.25Roger Williams University1.313.4%1st Place
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8.27Brown University1.995.9%1st Place
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8.52Cornell University1.967.0%1st Place
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9.38Dartmouth College2.105.3%1st Place
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9.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.2%1st Place
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9.64Georgetown University1.865.2%1st Place
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12.07George Washington University1.073.2%1st Place
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8.55University of Pennsylvania1.776.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 14.6% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.8% |
| Emily Alfortish | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 13.9% |
| Hannah Freeman | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Mia Hanes | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Ava Farley | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 14.1% |
| Tavia Smith | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% |
| Katharine Doble | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% |
| Winborne Majette | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Sarah Young | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% |
| Kelly Bates | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 2.9% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 14.9% |
| Sofia Segalla | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.