← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.39+0.98vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara1.42+4.16vs Predicted
-
3California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+3.05vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Los Angeles1.70+1.12vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington0.38+4.42vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley-0.24+5.82vs Predicted
-
7Arizona State University0.32+2.78vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Barbara-0.51+4.57vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-0.07vs Predicted
-
10University of Southern California0.64-1.21vs Predicted
-
11University of Hawaii1.53-5.23vs Predicted
-
12University of California at San Diego0.50-2.59vs Predicted
-
13Western Washington University-0.00-2.19vs Predicted
-
14University of Victoria-0.40-1.92vs Predicted
-
15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41-5.64vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Davis-0.72-2.54vs Predicted
-
17San Diego State University-0.54-4.15vs Predicted
-
18California State University Channel Islands-2.28-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.98Stanford University3.390.5%1st Place
-
6.16University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.0%1st Place
-
6.05California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
-
5.12University of California at Los Angeles1.700.1%1st Place
-
9.42University of Washington0.380.0%1st Place
-
11.82University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
-
9.78Arizona State University0.320.0%1st Place
-
12.57University of California at Santa Barbara-0.510.0%1st Place
-
8.93University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.0%1st Place
-
8.79University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
-
5.77University of Hawaii1.530.1%1st Place
-
9.41University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
-
10.81Western Washington University-0.000.0%1st Place
-
12.08University of Victoria-0.400.0%1st Place
-
9.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
-
13.46University of California at Davis-0.720.0%1st Place
-
12.85San Diego State University-0.540.0%1st Place
-
16.61California State University Channel Islands-2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 47.8% | 25.8% | 14.6% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 4.5% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 6.3% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Janov | 9.4% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 4.2% |
| Matt Grimsley | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Ariana Fernandez | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 5.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Morgana Manti | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Leopold Sabharwal | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 4.8% |
| Max Case | 2.7% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 17.9% | 9.7% |
| Morgan Burton | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 17.2% | 5.9% |
| Kitana Barrus | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 12.0% | 66.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.